- Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer, ESPN.com
With so many national games scheduled for today's Martin Luther King holiday, the Bristol brain trust has wisely postponed the normal Monday bracket until tomorrow. This way we won't have obsolete seedings when a day game like Villanova-UConn concludes by late afternoon.
Instead, this special edition of Bracket Math takes you inside Monday's "might have been" bracket. Enjoy it for now, then check back Tuesday when we roll out the full weekly Bracketology package.
Solid Odds (In S-Curve Order)
Teams with Tourney Odds of 75 percent or better through games of Jan. 16. See tomorrow's Rundown for odds on all potential No. 1 seeds, as well as the teams perched on the bubble:
The Top of the S-Curve
* conference leader (8 teams)
The First Four (S-Curve Order)
The four lowest-ranked automatic qualifiers on the S-Curve will play in the inaugural "First Four" round in Dayton, March 15-16. Currently this is how those four look:
66-McNeese State (Southland)
67-Texas Southern (SWAC)
68-Bethune Cookman (MEAC)
Take our "solid" at-large candidates (current Tournament Odds at 75 percent or better) and you have 31 teams in the field. Add in the remaining automatic qualifiers and that's another 23 spots. All told we have 54 of the 68 spots accounted for, with only 14 up for grabs among Monday's bubble teams.
The Bubble (32 teams for 14 spots)
IN (14, in S-Curve order)
32-North Carolina, 33-Gonzaga, 34-Cincinnati, 35-UCF, 36-Florida State, 37-Boston College, 38-Tennessee, 39-Georgia, 41-Wichita State, 42-Butler, 44-Virginia Tech, 45-Oklahoma State, 46-Old Dominion, 47-Marquette
Italics= Last Four IN***
(*** The last four at-large selections will also play in the inaugural "First Four" round in Dayton, March 15-16.)
OUT (18, in S-Curve order)
69-Washington State, 70-Baylor, 71-Miami (Fla.), 72-Colorado, 73-Southern Cal, 74-Penn State, 75-Maryland, 76-Richmond, 77-UCLA, 78-South Carolina, 79-Memphis, 80-UAB, 81-New Mexico, 82-Northwestern, 83-Stanford, 84-California, 85-Nebraska, 86-UTEP
Italics = First Four Out
It's still looking good for the Big East, currently with 11 teams in the bracket. The Big Ten and Big 12 follow with six apiece, and the ACC and SEC have five each. Other multibid conferences include the Mountain West (three), Pac-10 (two), West Coast (two), Missouri Valley (two), Atlantic 10 (two), Conference USA (two), Colonial Athletic (two) and Horizon League (two).
NEXT BRACKETOLOGY UPDATE: Tuesday, Jan. 18
NEXT BRACKET MATH UPDATE: Friday, Jan. 21
15dFran Fraschilla and Seth Greenberg
68dFran Fraschilla and Seth Greenberg
85dFran Fraschilla and Seth Greenberg
105dSeth Greenberg and Fran Fraschilla
117dFran Fraschilla and Seth Greenberg
128dFran Fraschilla and Seth Greenberg