Final Bracket Math update 

March, 13, 2011
3/13/11
3:32
PM ET

This edition of Bracket Math includes all games through Saturday. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.

Here's the final update of Bracket Math. Now, it's all up to the committee.



The S-curve


*: Clinched regular-season title and NIT automatic bid if needed

Bold: Projected conference winners (highest remaining conference tournament seed)

CAPS and BOLD: Clinched automatic bid

GREEN: Teams with tourney odds of 90 percent or better through games of March 12.

YELLOW: "Last four in" (will play March 15-16 in Dayton, Ohio)

GOLD: Lowest four auto bids (will play March 15-16 in Dayton, Ohio)

RED: "First four out" (teams 69-72 on the S-curve)


TODAY'S MATH




Take our "solid" at-large candidates (current Tournament Odds at 90 percent or better), and you have exactly 45 teams in the field. Add in the remaining automatic qualifiers, and that's another 19 spots. All told, we have 64 of the 68 spots accounted for, with only four up for grabs among current bubble teams.

"Bubble" (7 teams for 4 spots)