Fantasy Rumors: What to do with Marshall
January, 7, 2014
By Joe Kaiser | ESPN Insider
Should you trade Marshall or keep him?
Last week after Jordan Farmar went down with another hamstring injury, I suggested picking up Kendall Marshall -- score one for Joe K. I’d be lying, though, if I told you that I expected the 2012 lottery pick to perform the way he has over the past two games.
His numbers during that stretch are truly mind-boggling: 14.5 PPG, 16.0 APG, 6.0 RPG, 1.5 3PG, 50.0% FG (11-22), 100% FT (4-4)
Who could have seen that coming?!
If you were savvy (and quick) enough to grab Marshall before anyone else did, you now find yourself with a little more than you bargained for, and a tough decision on your hands. Should you ride out Marshall’s success or trade him while his value is at its peak?
Obviously, this depends on what you can get for him on the trade market. The red-hot point guard could certainly make for a very nice "sweetener" to any deal, so you could try to package him with a bigger piece and go after a star. Keep in mind, too, that the person who had Chris Paul in your league suddenly could be light in assists, potentially creating a perfect trade partner.
If you decide to keep Marshall, there are two concerns:
- His playing time likely will diminish once Steve Blake, Steve Nash and/or Farmar return.
- Even if he remains the starting point guard on the rebuilding Lakers and plays extended minutes, his numbers might come back down to earth.
For further analysis on the second point above, I approached ESPN Insider Kevin Pelton about how sustainable Marshall's recent numbers may be. His answer may tell you all you need to know about whether to keep him or trade him.
"Not to this extent," Pelton said. "But he averaged 12.3 APG in three starts last year, so he'll continue to have value in that category. The scoring is less sustainable. He's unlikely to keep hitting 47 percent of his 3s and his per-36 minute average (13.5) is nearly double what he did last year in Phoenix (7.3)."
Time to add Dunleavy and Snell?
Veteran Mike Dunleavy and rookie Tony Snell figure to both see their roles increase with Luol Deng shipped off to Cleveland, but a closer look reveals that only one of the two is probably worth adding in standard 12-person leagues. And that one is Dunleavy, not Snell.
Pelton projects Dunleavy to average 32 minutes per game over the rest of the season, provided that he is not traded, putting up solid averages of 13.3 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 2.3 APG and just over 2.0 3-pointers made per game.
Pelton's projections for Snell are not nearly as rosy -- 7.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG and 1.6 APG -- meaning the first-year forward out of New Mexico is probably not worth picking up unless you're in a 14- or 16-person league.
How Anderson's absence impacts the Pelicans
New Orleans will be without their leading scorer, Ryan Anderson, for an extended period of time after the Pelicans announced Tuesday that he's been diagnosed with a herniated disk.
How will the Pelicans make up for Anderson's 19.8 PPG and rare ability to spread the floor as a 6-foot-10 sharpshooter? ESPN Insider Amin Elhassan says to expect more out of the team's guards -- Jrue Holiday, Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans and even Anthony Morrow -- to fill the void.
"They need to replace Anderson's overall offensive production, but more importantly is maintaining the spacing," Elhassan said. "Expect more minutes for Anthony Morrow in that capacity."
Morrow, to this point, has played a limited role off the bench this season, averaging 15.8 minutes in 30 games. But his 44.9 percent shooting from 3-point range leads the team, and both Holiday (40.0 percent) and Gordon (38.9 percent) could also stand to see an increase in their attempts from distance as well. Evans? Not so much.
Bumps and bruises