Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Why Duke is vulnerable to an upset
By Joe Kaiser
Duke has been one of college basketball's best teams all season long, but the No. 2 seed Blue Devils could be at risk of an early exit again this March.
The Blue Devils' struggles on the offensive glass are well-documented. For the season, Duke pulled down only 29.4 percent of its own misses per KenPom.com, which ranked No. 243 in the nation. And even with Ryan Kelly in the lineup, this is a team that's still very average in that department.
History shows that teams that have trouble with offensive rebounding are vulnerable come tournament time, and the reason is simple.
"If a team has a bad night, do they go down? Who can withstand having a key aspect of their game malfunction?" ESPN's Peter Keating said on an installment of Bracket TV. "And if you're not good on the offensive glass, it's much tougher to do that."