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Monday update and history lesson

3/15/2010

We've been bunkered deep inside GK Central for nearly 24 straight hours, and we keep finding more and more info that we feel compelled to share with you. First, we've produced detailed breakdowns of every game with Giant Killer implications in the East Region as well as the South Region. We'll hit the Midwest and the West on Tuesday.

Next up, just a bit of housekeeping. We've removed a few Giants who have very little chance of facing a Giant Killer (such as Wake Forest, Oklahoma State and everyone's old friend, Northern Iowa) from our drop-down list on the right of the page. If, somehow, they end up facing a team seeded at least five spots worse later in the tournament, we'll put them back in there. We've kept the Giant Killers who aren't in GK first-round games on the list, though, in case you want to start planning ahead for second-round upsets in the Tournament Challenge. For instance, if you think UNLV will advance to face Kansas in Round 2, it would be helpful to have the Runnin' Rebels' numbers readily available. So, they remain, and start thinking about some of those second-round games in which a 1-seed faces an 8 or 9 or a 2-seed takes on the 7-10 winner.

Finally, we've saved the best for last today. As promised, we have some historical data to help make sense of the Giants' vulnerability ratings and the GKs' upset ratings. Enjoy! Since 2004 ...

• 0 of 22 Giant Killers (0 percent) with ratings below 2 beat a Giant.

• Seven of 59 Giant Killers (11.9 percent) with ratings between 2 and 19.9 beat a Giant.

• Two of 20 Giant Killers (10 percent) with ratings between 20 and 29.9 beat a Giant.

• Four of 18 Giant Killers (22.2 percent) with ratings between 30 and 39.9 beat a Giant.

• Nine of 14 Giant Killers (64.3 percent) with ratings between 40 and 59.9 beat a Giant.

• Two of 2 Giant Killers (100 percent) with ratings of 60 or greater beat a Giant.

And the Giants?

• One of 22 Giants (4.5 percent) with vulnerability ratings below 2 lost to a GK.

• One of 33 Giants (3.0 percent) with vulnerability ratings between 2 and 19.9 lost to a GK.

• Six of 33 Giants (18.2 percent) with vulnerability ratings between 20 and 29.9 lost to a GK.

• Six of 22 Giants (27.3 percent) with vulnerability ratings between 30 and 39.9 lost to a GK.

• Nine of 14 Giants (64.3 percent) with vulnerability ratings between 40 and 59.9 lost to a GK.

• Four of 5 Giants (80 percent) with vulnerability ratings of 60 or greater lost to a GK.