Top 10 for '13: Tough calls after first three 

January, 11, 2013
Nobody had ever accomplished quite what Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout did statistically during the 2012 season. So it's not merely reasonable, but expected, that some regression is coming in 2013. I mean, let's get real. Trout was incredible, we'll never forget it. The question when judging his immediate future value is figuring out to what degree a few of his numbers will fall -- most likely home runs, batting average and runs scored -- and whether it's still enough to make him the first pick in 2013 fantasy drafts.

But in my book, he's still No. 1.

[+] EnlargeRyan Braun
Benny Sieu/US PresswireMike Trout gets the top spot, but you can't go wrong with Ryan Braun at No. 2.
There are three clear candidates for the first overall pick, and the fact is, fantasy owners can't go wrong with any of them. Detroit Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera and Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun were pretty awesome in 2012 as well. But why can't those fellows regress some, too? Cabrera reached career highs in home runs and RBIs. I don't think he'll turn into Ty Wigginton anytime soon, but we think he's going to improve? Braun also hit a career mark in home runs. I said and wrote it a year ago and will again that I'd take Braun over Cabrera because of the stolen bases. It's a big difference, and life is much easier when your power guys supply steals, too, so you don't have to overdraft the Michael Bourn types. I have Braun at No. 2.