Is Johan Santana worth the risk? 

January, 26, 2010
When a top-10 fantasy starting pitcher coming off the second elbow surgery of his career is slated to throw from a mound for the first time this winter, it should be pretty big news, especially in New York. However, I'm not so sure this means too much in the fantasy baseball world. This is the latest on Johan Santana from today's Newark Star-Ledger:
    "With 23 days remaining until pitchers and catchers report and the Mets' roster still a work in progress, chief operating officer Jeff Wilpon, GM Omar Minaya, assistant GMs John Ricco and Wayne Krivsky and manager Jerry Manuel huddled Monday at the team's Port St. Lucie, Fla., complex for Day One of a three-day voluntary players minicamp. The highlight of the camp will be the return of Santana, who is set to throw off a mound Tuesday, hoping his left elbow has recovered from surgery to remove bone chips Sept. 1."

Obviously this is a big deal for the Mets, coming off a brutal season and looking to sell tickets. This is arguably their most important player recovering so he can not only make his Opening Day start, but also contribute 33 or 34 more this season and vie for his third Cy Young award. Santana says, "Time will tell, but I am feeling good." Awesome. But that's what it's going to take for fantasy owners to ultimately make up their minds -- time, lots of time. And I don't think we'll truly know whether Santana is going to make it back to ace status until well into the season, which is well after you need to make your definitive choice on whether to draft or ignore him.