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Wednesday, November 7, 2012
Stats that mater: Iowa State vs. Texas

By Carter Strickland

Numbers, it's said, rarely lie. With that thought in mind, HornsNation -- with a healthy assist from the ESPN Stats and Info crew -- will dig into the numbers each week and pull three stats that could play a significant role in the outcome of Texas' game. This week the focus is on Iowa State, a team that has lost three of its last four games.

1. 176
Iowa State started fast with a 4-1 record. But once the Cyclones hit the meat of the Big 12 everything started to turn slightly rancid. The Cyclones are 1-3 in their last four. A big reason for that is that they are being outgained by an average of 176 yards per game in their last four games.

Now granted, ISU still scored 20 against Oklahoma. And while that is one point less than Texas scored, the Cyclones managed to get at least one of their touchdowns prior to garbage time in the fourth quarter. Texas could not manage to do the same against the Sooners.

But what Texas should be able to do, given its newfound commitment to actually tackling people who have the ball, is hold the nation’s 88th best scoring offense to near its average of 24 points per game. And given that Texas has not had issues putting up points at home, that should be enough for the Longhorns to win.

2. 12
Mike Davis asks for the ball before nearly every play. When it comes to the long ball David Ash usually obliges. Ash has hit Davis 12 times on passes of 20 or more yards. Only Terrance Williams of Baylor has more 20-plus yard catches in the Big 12. He has 24.

Davis certainly should have the opportunity to grab a few more deep passes against Iowa State. The Cyclones are 109th in pass defense, allowing 283 yards per game.

3. 79.6
Everybody bows at the webbed-feet of Oregon when it comes to offense this season. OK, every season. But Texas need not genuflect so deeply when it comes paying homage to the Ducks’ red zone offense. That’s because while Oregon lead the country in red-zone TD percentage (83.6), Texas is second nationally at 79.6 percent.

Iowa State might test the Longhorns inside the red zone The Cyclones have only allowed opponents into the red zone 34 times but only given up 26 scores. And only 19 of those scores were touchdowns, 10 of them on the ground and another nine through the air.

If Texas gets into the red zone it is almost a certainty that the ball will eventually find its way into the hands of Joe Bergeron. The running back has 43 rushes in the red zone, second most in the Big 12 and 16 red-zone touchdowns, first in the Big 12.