Numbers say little has changed in Texas 

January, 25, 2013
1/25/13
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If conference realignment is going to drastically change how many top recruits leave the state of Texas, it hasn’t happened yet.

Of the state’s top 50 prospects for the 2013 class, 21 are currently committed to out-of-state programs. That might seem like a high number, but it’s right on par with the four-year average (20) between 2009 and 2012.

All but three of those 50 have already committed, and one -- Katy Cinco Ranch running back Jamel James -- will likely push that number to 22.

The trend holds up with the elite prospects of that group, too. Four of the state’s top 10 prospects and 10 of its top 25 are currently committed to leaving Texas to play their college ball. Again, that’s awful close to the recent four-year averages of 3 and 10.

What does that mean, exactly? While Texas A&M’s conference move did motivate most SEC schools to hit the state harder than ever with offers and visits, the results haven’t been exceedingly significant so far.

That being said, the results are somewhat promising. For out-of-state schools, this was actually a bit of a bounce-back year after the numbers were quite skewed in 2012.

Last year, only one of the top 10, five of the top 25 and 11 of the top 50 left Texas. That list includes No. 1 prospect and Florida State signee Mario Edwards Jr., but few other big names followed.

The difference? Oklahoma signed only one top-50 prospect that year. Oklahoma State has pledges from six in 2013 but only signed three in 2012. And for the first time in years, Nebraska didn’t land any after netting three the previous year.

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