Texas A&M Aggies: bowl index 2013

SEC bowl projections: Week 15

December, 8, 2013
12/08/13
12:00
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The dream season continues for Auburn.

Unbelievable isn't it? The Tigers were 3-9 a year ago. Now they're 12-1 and SEC champions, and things broke their way to open the door for them to head back to the VIZIO BCS National Championship Game for the second time in four seasons. What an incredible story. As a result of its 59-42 win over Missouri in the SEC championship game on Saturday at the Georgia Dome and Ohio State's loss to Michigan State in the Big Ten championship game, Auburn is BCS title-game bound.

What does that mean for the rest of the league and those teams' bowl destinations? Alabama is almost certainly headed to the Allstate Sugar Bowl. The next pick belongs to the Capital One Bowl, and South Carolina should be headed to Orlando for that one. As for the AT&T Cotton Bowl, it's looking like Mizzou is the favorite to land that spot.

That leaves an interesting sequence for the next few bowls in the pecking order. The Outback Bowl, Chick-fil-A Bowl and the TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl are each potential destinations for LSU, Texas A&M and Georgia. The selections could go a couple different ways, but we take a stab at how we think it'll shake out below.

As for the next tier, it appears the AutoZone Liberty Bowl has its sights set on Mississippi State, which would kick Vanderbilt to the BBVA Compass Bowl. Here are our full projections for bowl selection Sunday, and soon enough, we'll find out the fate for each of these squads.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Auburn
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Alabama
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Missouri
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: LSU
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Texas A&M
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Mississippi State
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Vanderbilt

SEC bowl projections: Week 14

December, 1, 2013
12/01/13
8:45
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Call it Shakeup Saturday in terms of our weekly bowl projections. Auburn's miraculous turnaround season has taken college football's center stage. The Tigers might not be in position to reach the BCS title game at this moment, but Auburn is likely to be favored in Saturday's SEC championship game. So if the Tigers beat Missouri, the computers could sway the human voters to move Auburn all the way to No. 1 or No. 2. It's complicated, but the bottom line is that AU can turn the final year of the BCS into one last referendum on conference clout and strength of schedule.

Alabama is not out of the picture either. If this crazy season keeps spinning off its axis, next week's games could feature another slew of upsets and surprises. For now, we'll pencil the Tide into the Sugar Bowl. By beating Texas A&M on Saturday, Missouri actually has a chance to get into the national championship debate as well, but it has to start by beating Auburn this week in Atlanta. If that doesn't happen, a two-loss Missouri might still have raised its national profile enough to be an attractive choice for the Capital One Bowl.

The Cotton Bowl picks next, and while many see the potential for a Johnny Manziel draw, A&M's four losses now move it behind LSU in the pecking order. The Bayou Bengals have plenty of pull at ticket offices in their neighboring Lone Star State, by the way.

The rest of the SEC projections haven't changed. Georgia is clinging to a New Year's Day bowl thanks to a double-overtime win against Georgia Tech on Saturday. Ole Miss is still holding on to its spot in Nashville thanks to its seven wins this year. Vanderbilt is stuck with the Liberty Bowl because the Music City Bowl is not expected to make the Dores repeat last year's appearance. And Mississippi State is now bowl eligible thanks to its upset in Thursday's Egg Bowl.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Auburn
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Alabama
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: LSU
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Texas A&M
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Mississippi State

SEC bowl projections: Week 13

November, 24, 2013
11/24/13
8:45
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The drill at the top is still the same. Alabama to the BCS title game, Auburn likely to the Sugar Bowl. The chances of Auburn getting passed by Texas A&M for the Sugar Bowl just went out the window with the Aggies falling to LSU and picking up their third loss as a result (Auburn can not finish with more than two losses now).

So given that, where does that leave Missouri? The Tigers can clinch an SEC championship game berth with a win over Texas A&M, a loss means South Carolina goes. Either way, if Bama finishes its job and gets to the title game, Missouri will have a second loss, meaning South Carolina could jump the Tigers and be the first non-BCS bowl pick to the Capital One Bowl.

The next question is, who does the Cotton Bowl take? It has first preference from the West Division -- does it take LSU or Texas A&M, who both have three losses. Though the Tigers beat A&M head-to-head, I'm betting the Aggies still get chosen because of the draw of Johnny Manziel.

That would send LSU to either the Outback or the Chick-Fil-A bowls but Missouri, if it gets to the SEC championship game and is passed by South Carolina for the Capital One Bowl, would be next on the list.

Tennessee's bowl eligibility is out the window, so Mississippi State is back in the postseason picture. But the Bulldogs need a win in the Egg Bowl to clinch bowl eligibility. Ole Miss' loss puts the Rebels down a spot and lets Georgia move up a spot to the Gator Bowl. And Vanderbilt continued its winning ways and looks poised for a Liberty Bowl berth.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: LSU
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Mississippi State

SEC bowl projections: Week 12

November, 17, 2013
11/17/13
8:45
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Georgia can't buy a break, can it? Saturday's heartbreaking loss to Auburn dropped the Bulldogs to third in their division with three conference losses and a 6-4 record overall. But more importantly, it all but eliminated them from the SEC East race with Missouri and South Carolina as the clear front-runners.

A win might have put Georgia in position for a berth in the Chick-fil-A Bowl, but today it looks like a trip to Nashville, Tenn., for the Music City Bowl might be in order.

Missouri had the weekend off but will close with two tough ones in Ole Miss and Texas A&M. If the Tigers lose just one, their BCS bowl hopes will go down the drain. Given their strength of schedule, the margin of error is razor-thin.

South Carolina, meanwhile, has a little easier road if you consider Coastal Carolina a gimme this weekend before the big one at home against Clemson. Should the Gamecocks beat Clemson and the winner of the SEC West, making it back-to-back wins over top-10 teams, imagine the predicament voters would be in. All bowl projections would have to be thrown out the window.

If you shift your focus to the SEC West, not much has changed. The Iron Bowl on Nov. 30 will determine everything. Alabama has to be the favorite, but with the way Auburn has looked, both in terms of play and luck, it's hard to count the Tigers out at home. The winner of that game will reach the SEC title game and be in position for a spot in the BCS National Championship.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: LSU
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Georgia
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Tennessee

SEC bowl projections: Week 11

November, 10, 2013
11/10/13
8:45
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The most coveted slots in this week's SEC bowl projections are a mess, with several teams still holding out hope of appearing in one of the league's marquee bowl destinations.

The bowl assignment that still seems as sure as ever, though, is Alabama reaching the BCS Championship Game. The Crimson Tide's second-half dismantling of LSU on Saturday made Pasadena look like a predictable destination, although Alabama still has a couple of tricky games left at Auburn and potentially against whichever team advances from the SEC East free-for-all to the league championship game.

The East race could go down to the wire, although this weekend's South Carolina-Florida and Auburn-Georgia matchups could provide some clarity, while bringing our bowl projections into tighter focus as well.

We're also down a team after Saturday's results. Vanderbilt's 34-17 win over Florida on Saturday knocked the Gators out of our projections, dropping the list of expected SEC bowl participants from 11 to 10. At 4-5 and with games remaining against South Carolina, Georgia Southern and Florida State, we no longer envision the Gators reaching bowl eligibility.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Georgia
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: LSU
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Vanderbilt

SEC bowl projections: Week 10

November, 3, 2013
11/03/13
8:45
PM ET
It was a rare weekend in the SEC where upsets weren't prevalent. The league's bowl outlook, for once, remained largely unchanged.

Missouri and South Carolina both took care of business on Saturday, beating Tennessee and Mississippi State, respectively. The Tigers remain in the driver's seat to win the East with just one loss, but their final three games against Kentucky, Ole Miss and Texas A&M won't be easy. The Gamecocks, meanwhile, have to run the table against Florida, Coastal Carolina and Clemson, and hope for a Missouri loss to win the division.

Georgia, however, remains lurking in the background with two losses in SEC play. A hard-fought win over rival Florida kept the Bulldogs' hopes alive.

With Alabama and LSU taking the week off, Auburn made hay by going on the road to beat Arkansas in Fayetteville. Auburn remains on track for a top-10 showdown against Alabama in the Iron Bowl. The rivalry game could serve as an SEC championship play-in game should the top-ranked Crimson Tide beat LSU at home this coming weekend.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: LSU
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Florida
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt

SEC bowl projections: Week 9

October, 27, 2013
10/27/13
8:45
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Missouri was one play away from locking up the SEC East on Saturday, but South Carolina fought back and handed the Tigers their first loss of the season in double overtime. Now the East is up for grabs once again with South Carolina, Missouri and the winner of this weekend’s Florida-Georgia game all still in contention.

The other team who benefited from Missouri’s loss was Auburn. The Tigers climbed into the top 10 in the AP poll and are now second in the SEC behind Alabama. There’s a chance that both teams will be ranked in the top 10 when they meet in the Iron Bowl next month. Win or lose, Auburn looks destined to play in a BCS bowl.

This weekend, Missouri will have to bounce back against a hungry Tennessee team. The Volunteers are one of five SEC teams who still need two wins to become bowl eligible, and a road win this Saturday would go a long way in making that happen.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Auburn
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: LSU
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Florida
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt

SEC bowl projections: Week 8

October, 20, 2013
10/20/13
8:45
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A day for the underdog in the SEC has turned the conference on its ear, completely reshuffling our league bowl projections in the process.

The big leaps: Missouri and Auburn, a pair of surprising contenders for division titles. The big drops: injury-riddled Florida and Georgia, which will meet Nov. 2 in one of the least important games in Jacksonville (not including those featuring the Jaguars) in years.

Teams to watch: Tennessee and Ole Miss. After upsetting highly ranked teams on Saturday, the Volunteers and Rebels might still make some more noise. The Rebels have a manageable schedule down the stretch, while the Vols are in the middle of a brutal run -- up next are road trips to Alabama and Missouri followed by a visit from Auburn -- but Butch Jones' club is now showing a strong pulse after an underwhelming September.

Needless to say, after this Saturday full of carnage, don't book a flight to any of these destinations just yet. We have a feeling there will be plenty of more shuffling within the SEC standings before we reach bowl season.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Missouri
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Auburn
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: LSU
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: South Carolina
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Ole Miss
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Tennessee
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Florida
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt

SEC bowl projections: Week 7

October, 13, 2013
10/13/13
12:00
PM ET
A wild weekend of SEC football brings a shake-up to our weekly bowl projections. For starters: What do we make of the SEC East?

Missouri went into Athens, Ga., and proved that it is for real by beating Georgia. But the Tigers lost their starting quarterback, James Franklin, to a shoulder injury in the process. If he is out the rest of the regular season, that means the Tigers would have to face three Top 25 teams (Florida, South Carolina and Texas A&M) with a freshman quarterback (Maty Mauk). The fortunate part of that is that all three of those games are at home. But figuring out where they're going to fall in at the end of this thing is tough. They have Florida and South Carolina the next two weeks, so that will be telling.

Georgia took its second loss of the season and its first SEC loss, so it no longer controls its own destiny. But with Missouri defeating the Bulldogs, we put Georgia below the Tigers in the pecking order ... for now. The toughest part of Georgia's schedule is behind it, and it has just one ranked team -- the showdown with Florida on Nov. 2 -- left on its schedule. If the Bulldogs can get healthy, they have the chance for a strong end-of-season run.

Florida struggled offensively in its loss at LSU on Saturday, and it still has a tough road ahead. After Missouri, Georgia is on deck, and there are still battles against South Carolina and a nonconference game against Florida State left. Meanwhile, South Carolina pounded Arkansas on the road and also has Missouri and a Clemson battle at the end of the season.

Alabama is still on top, and we gave LSU the other BCS nod from the SEC. But keep an eye on Texas A&M, which could move up in the rankings this week after its thrilling win and a couple of losses from other teams in the polls. The other questions remain at the bottom, where it might be a challenge for the SEC to fill its bowl tie-ins. Arkansas, Ole Miss and Vanderbilt all still need three more wins, and Ole Miss is the only one with a conference victory at this point.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: LSU
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Georgia
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Florida
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Ole Miss
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Arkansas

SEC bowl projections: Week 6

October, 6, 2013
10/06/13
12:00
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Had Tennessee hung on to shock Georgia, that could’ve turned the SEC bowl projections upside down. As it stands now, the Bulldogs remain the favorite to win the East despite all their injuries. As long as Aaron Murray stays healthy, the Dawgs will be tough to beat.

Auburn's upset win over Ole Miss moved it ahead of the Rebels in the pecking order, while Florida and Missouri are both trending after impressive conference victories.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Georgia
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: LSU
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Florida
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: South Carolina
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Missouri
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Ole Miss
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Vanderbilt
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Arkansas

SEC bowl projections: Week 5

September, 29, 2013
9/29/13
12:00
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Not much movement in this week's SEC bowl projections.

Alabama's shutout win over Ole Miss and LSU's shootout loss at Georgia shed some light on the true pecking order in the SEC West. And while we gave some thought to moving Georgia up a spot into a BCS bowl, the Aggies haven't done anything to lose the honor just yet.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Texas A&M
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: LSU
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Florida
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Missouri
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Auburn
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Vanderbilt
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Arkansas

SEC bowl projections: Week 4

September, 22, 2013
9/22/13
12:00
PM ET
Some of the SEC favorites didn't necessarily play up to their national standing on Saturday, but that didn't really affect their place in this week's bowl projections. Let's take a look:

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: Texas A&M
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: LSU
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Florida
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Missouri
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Vanderbilt
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Arkansas

SEC bowl projections: Week 3

September, 15, 2013
9/15/13
12:00
PM ET
Three weeks in, and it's time to check out where we think the SEC teams will land when the regular season is over and postseason play begins.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama

Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: LSU

Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia

AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M

Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina

Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Florida

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn

AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt

BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Arkansas

AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Missouri

SEC bowl projections: Week 2

September, 8, 2013
9/08/13
12:00
PM ET
Two weeks in, and it's time to check out where we think SEC teams are heading during the postseason.

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: LSU
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: South Carolina
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Florida
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Arkansas
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Missouri

SEC bowl projections: Week 1

September, 1, 2013
9/01/13
12:00
PM ET
Who projects the bowl lineup after just one week of the season? We do here at the SEC blog. And while it might be wise to write these projections in pencil, here's how we see it shaking out based on what we've seen to this point:

VIZIO BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 6: Alabama
Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2: LSU
Capital One Bowl: Jan. 1: South Carolina
AT&T Cotton Bowl, Jan. 3: Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1: Georgia
Chick-fil-A Bowl, Dec. 31: Florida
TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl, Jan. 1: Ole Miss
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30: Auburn
AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Dec. 31: Vanderbilt
BBVA Compass Bowl, Jan. 4: Arkansas
AdvoCare V100 Bowl, Dec. 31: Missouri

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