Tuesday, October 8, 2013
SEC 2014 recruiting scenarios
By Derek Tyson
With signing day still several months away, schools will add and in some cases lose committed prospects. Here is a look at the best and worst case scenario for each SEC school.
Best-case scenario: Alabama already has the top class in the country and any addition is just icing on the cake, but best-case scenario, Alabama would add the nation’s top-ranked player, Leonard Fournette (New Orleans/St. Augustine), and a host of other ESPN 300 members, including five-star defensive end Da'Shawn Hand (Woodbridge, Va./Woodbridge), defensive back Marlon Humphrey (Hoover, Ala./Hoover), five-star defensive end Lorenzo Carter (Norcross, Ga./Norcross) and tight end Tyler Luatua (La Mirada, Caif./La Mirada).
Worst-case scenario: The Tide already have a phenomenal class but even Alabama can't take them all. At this point, Alabama might only get one or maybe two of the guys mentioned above -- with Humphrey being the most likely.
Best-case scenario: New head coach Brett Beliema has put together a top 40 class, but the Hogs would like to add ESPN 300 defensive tackle Joshua Frazier (Springdale, Ark./Har Ber), tight end DeAndre Goolsby (Derby, Kan./Derby), three-star athlete Raymond Wingo (St. Louis/St. Louis University), three-star running back Deandre Murray (Springdale, Ark./Springdale) and former LSU defensive end commit Sharieff Rhaheed (Ft. Pierce, Fla./Ft. Pierce Central).
Worst-case scenario: Barring a drastic change, Arkansas should land several of the guys listed above including Frazier, Wingo, Murray and possibly Goolsby. Overall, Arkansas should finish strong.
Best-case scenario: Auburn has a strong chance of landing several top prospects and in a perfect world, the Tigers would land four-star linebacker Rashaan Evans (Auburn, Ala./Auburn), defensive end Andrew Williams (McDonough, Ga./Eagles Landing), four-star center Josh Casher (Mobile, Ala./St. Paul's Episcopal), offensive guard Jordan Sims (Birmingham, Ala./Homewood) and wide receiver Myron Burton Jr. (Suwannee, Ga./Peachtree Ridge).
Worst-case scenario: Auburn has a great shot of landing most the guys listed above, but the worst-case scenario would involve losing out on Evans, who lives in Auburn. Realistically Auburn will likely sign at least three players from the list above.
Best-case scenario: The Gators are still in the hunt for several top prospects including five-star prospects Adoree' Jackson (Gardena, Calif./Junipero Serra), defensive ends Lorenzo Carter and Da'Shawn Hand, and Speedy Noil (New Orleans/Edna Karr). Gators are also in contention for ESPN 300 members David Sharpe (Jacksonville, Fla./Providence Christian), Jamal Adams (Lewisville, Texas/Hebron), Jalen Tabor (Washington, D.C./Friendship Collegiate), Lorenzo Featherston (Greensboro, N.C./Page), Johnnie Dixon (Palm Beach, Fla./Dwyer), Travis Rudolph (West Palm Beach, Fla./Cardinal Newman), Clifton Garrett (Plainfield, Ill./Plainfield South) and Bryce Dixon (Ventura, Calif./St. Bonaventure)
Worst-case scenario: There is no realistic way Florida lands all of the players above and the Gators are limited on scholarships. Worst-case scenario, Florida will likely land two or three players listed above. The Gators must also hold on to current commits Dalvin Cook (Miami/Central) and Ermon Lane (Homestead, Fla./Homestead Senior), who are planning on visiting other schools.
Best-case scenario: The Bulldogs would be to land five-star prospects Lorenzo Carter and Raekwon McMillan (Hinesville, Ga./Liberty Co.) and ESPN 300 prospects, David Sharpe, Rashaan Evans, Josh Malone (Gallatin, Tenn./Station Camp), former South Carolina DB commit Wesley Green (Lithonia, Ga./Martin Luther King) and defensive tackle Elisha Shaw.
Worst-case scenario: Georgia has already put together a top five recruiting class, but worst-case scenario is that the Bulldogs will still likely add at least two prospects from the list above. Sharpe and Green appear to be the most likely at this point.
Best-case scenario: Kentucky has already put together a remarkable class of 24 prospects, but the best-case scenario for the Wildcats would be to add defensive tackle Matt Elam (Elizabethtown, Ky./John Hardin), wide receiver Moral Stephens (Perry, Fla./Taylor Co.), E.J. Moss (Ashville, Ala./Ashville) and Verondtae Wilkinson (Trotwood, Ohio/Trotwood-Madison).
Worst-case scenario: If Kentucky didn't add another prospect in this class they would still have a great class. Worst-case scenario, Kentucky will at least sign two players from the list above, including Elam.
Best-case scenario: The Tigers might have the most to gain out of any school in the country. Best-case scenario for LSU would include landing the No. 1 player in the country, RB Leonard Fournette, Laurence Jones (Monroe, La./Neville), Tony Brown (Beaumont, Texas/Ozen), Speedy Noil, Malachi Dupre (River Ridge, La./John Curtis), Gerald Willis III (New Orleans/Edna Karr), Clifton Garrett and Garrald McDowell (Covington, La./Covington) -- all of whom are in the top 110 of the ESPN 300.
Worst-case scenario: Unless LSU completely falls apart, there really isn't a scenario in which the Tigers don't end up with a monster class. Of the eight players listed below, worst-case scenario LSU would still likely land four of those prospects.
Best-case scenario: Part of the Bulldogs’ best-case scenario came true on Monday as ESPN 300 wide receiver Jesse Jackson (Petal, Miss./Petal) committed to Mississippi State. Joining him in this scenario would be defensive tackle Cory Thomas (McCalla, Ala./McAdory), defensive end Grant Harris (Clinton, Miss./Clinton) and quarterback Alex Woodall (McComb, Miss./McComb.
Worst-case scenario: Unfortunately for MSU, Thomas named Tennessee his leader on Sunday. Even in this worst-case scenario, the Bulldogs will still likely land Harris and Woodall.
Best-case scenario: Missouri already has 24 commitments, so best-case scenario would involve keeping the players already committed to the Tigers and adding prospects such as three-star athlete Caleb Chumley (Longview, Texas/Pine Tree), three-star running back Markel Smith (St. Louis/St. John Vianney) and junior college defensive tackle Calvin Heurtelou (Scottsdale, Ariz./Scottsdale CC).
Worst-case scenario: Missouri will likely land Chumley and Heurtelou, but worst-case scenario the Tigers would not be able to pull in Smith. Missouri will also need to hold on to its current commits.
Best-case scenario: Ole Miss, in this best-case scenario, would be able to wrestle linebacker Nyles Morgan (Crete, Ill./Crete-Monet) away from Vanderbilt and defensive tackle Elisha Shaw (Tucker, Ga./Tucker) away from Georgia. The Rebels would also be able to land defensive backs Kendarius Webster (Stockbridge, Ga./Stockbridge) and Terrence Alexander (New Orleans/John Curtis) and defensive end Breeland Speaks (Jackson, Miss./Callaway).
Worst-case scenario: With Morgan and Shaw basically being 50-50 on which school they will chose, the worst case for Ole Miss would be that neither select the Rebels. Even still, at the very least Ole Miss will still likely land three of the list players above.
Best-case scenario: The Gamecocks have only 12 commits in this class, but they can't sign many more either. The best-case scenario would include landing ESPN 300 running back Derrell Scott (Havelock, N.C./Havelock), offensive tackle Donell Stanley (Latta, S.C./Latta) and defensive end Dante Sawyer (Suwanee, Ga./North Gwinnett). Three-star QB Bo Baldwin (Aiken, S.C./Aiken South) and athlete Ra'Shaun Croney (Pahokee, Fla./Pahokee) are also viable options.
Worst-case scenario: South Carolina could take Croney and Baldwin, but losing out on Scott, Stanley and Sawyer would be the absolute worst-case scenario. That likely won't happen though.
Best-case scenario: With 24 commitments, including 10 in the ESPN 300, Tennessee has pretty much met a majority of their needs. With ESPN 300 prospects Travis Rudolph, Clifton Garrett, Derrell Scott, Josh Malone, Dewayne Hendrix (O'Fallon, Ill./O'Fallon Township), Evan Berry (Fairburn, Ga./Creekside) and Derek Barnett (Brentwood, Tenn./Brentwood Academy) still high on Tennessee's recruiting board, the Vols could finish with an incredible class.
Worst-case scenario: Even in the worst case scenario it looks like Tennessee will still finish strong. At the very least the Vols should land three of the players listed above.
Best-case scenario: Any scenario that involves the Aggies landing five-star defensive end Myles Garrett (Arlington, Texas/James Martin) is the best-case scenario. Adding other ESPN 300 prospects such Casey Tucker (Chandler, Ariz./Hamilton) and his teammate Qualen Cunningham would only help solidify an already outstanding class.
Worst-case scenario: Something drastic would have to happen for Garrett not to choose the Aggies, but if he decides to go elsewhere, this would certainly be the worst-case scenario.
Best-case scenario: Landing ESPN 300 linebacker Nyles Morgan, four-star wide receiver Jalen Brown (Phoenix/Mountain Pointe), ESPN 300 wide receiver Trevon Lee (Fort Lauderdale, Fla./Cardinal Gibbons) and three-star defensive back Amani Oruwariye (Tampa, Fla./Gaither) would be the absolute best case scenario for the Commodores.
Worst-case scenario: Vanderbilt will likely land at least two of the players listed above, but losing out on Morgan and Lee would certainly be the worst-case scenario.