Thursday, October 10, 2013
SEC predictions: Week 7
By Edward Aschoff
The last two weeks have been pretty exciting when it's come to our picks. I expected to have at least a three-game lead on Chris heading into this week, but his age and wisdom got the best of me.
After picking against the Dawgs two weeks ago and taking Ole Miss last week, I'm leading him by just one game. The bad news is that Chris has some momentum. The good news is that I'm still in the lead, and that's all that matters.
We both went 6-1 and I didn't gain any ground. I missed on Ole Miss, while Chris lost out on Vanderbilt. On the season, I'm sitting at 53-5 (.914) and Chris has a record of 52-6 (.897).
Chris has refrained from talking any sort of smack, which is nice, but I'm young and live the life of a single man in Atlanta whose biggest responsibility is a cat. I take chances. I put myself out there and I show off my swag (just check out my awesome glasses). I hold Inman Park down and I have a rep to maintain. But hey, Chris coaches little league baseball and I hear he's in the market for a classic old-timer vehicle: the Pontiac Trans Sport. Just an absolute beauty ...
On to the picks:
BOWLING GREEN AT MISSISSIPPI STATE
Chris Low: The fourth quarter hasn’t been kind to Mississippi State this season in the Bulldogs’ three losses. They jump out of conference this week against a team that’s won three in a row and playing with a lot of confidence. It won’t be easy, but the Bulldogs will prevail at home. Mississippi State 34, Bowling Green 24
Edward Aschoff: The Bulldogs get to regroup against a confident 5-1 Bowling Green team with an offense averaging nearly 500 yards a game. We saw a lot of fight from Mississippi State against LSU and the Bulldogs will prevail this week. Mississippi State 31, Bowling Green 21
WESTERN CAROLINA AT AUBURN
Chris Low: Coming off a key win last week against Ole Miss, Auburn finally gets a breather after a tough stretch of games. The Tigers are making a bid as the SEC’s most improved team and will mark the midway point of the season this weekend with their fifth win. Auburn 42, Western Carolina 6
Edward Aschoff: Auburn's win over Ole Miss was big, and now the Tigers get a delicious cupcake to feast on this weekend. We should see more throwing from Nick Marshall. Auburn 41, Western Carolina 14
ALABAMA AT KENTUCKY
Chris Low: It’s the kind of thing Nick Saban hates hearing, but there’s not a team on Alabama’s schedule this month that ought to come within two or three touchdowns of the Crimson Tide. Alabama 35, Kentucky 7
Edward Aschoff: Alabama played its most complete game of the season in a blowout win over Georgia State. Kentucky improved against South Carolina, but not enough to challenge the Tide. Alabama 41, Kentucky 7
SOUTH CAROLINA AT ARKANSAS
Chris Low: South Carolina has played some real stinkers at Arkansas over the years, and the Hogs are hungry for a win after losing each of the last three weeks. Look for a second-half game, but look for the Gamecocks to survive thanks to another big effort from Mike Davis. South Carolina 28, Arkansas 24
Edward Aschoff: The Gamecocks haven't won here since 2005 and Jadeveon Clowney is nursing a rib injury. Both have great running games, but something tells me that Alex Collins will be able to pull off some big runs late to help the Hogs pull the upset. Arkansas 28, South Carolina 24
TEXAS A&M AT OLE MISS
Chris Low: Settle in for a wild one at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Texas A&M’s defense hasn’t been able to stop much this season. But then again, nobody has come close to stopping Johnny Manziel and that Texas A&M offense. Texas A&M 41, Ole Miss 31
Edward Aschoff: Last season the Rebels actually had a 10-point fourth-quarter lead in their loss to the Aggies. Now the Rebels have dropped two straight and the Aggies are rested after the bye week. The question is if Ole Miss' offense can keep pace with Johnny Football. The Rebels just aren't built to right now. Texas A&M 41, Ole Miss 35
MISSOURI AT GEORGIA
Chris Low: The injuries just keep mounting for Georgia, but the Dawgs just keep winning. They’ve given up 30 or more points in four of their five games this season and face a Missouri team that’s also lighting up scoreboards. Fortunately for the Dawgs, they have Aaron Murray. Georgia 31, Missouri 27
Edward Aschoff: I've picked against the Bulldogs twice in Athens. Twice, I've been wrong. The Bulldogs aren't healthy, Todd Gurley is "doubtful" and Mizzou's offense is red-hot. Everything points to me picking the Tigers. Georgia fans want me to pick Mizzou. Well, you had me at injuries and a struggling defense. Missouri 31, Georgia 27
FLORIDA AT LSU
Chris Low: LSU has been one of the country’s top scoring offenses at 45.5 points per game. Florida has been one of the country’s top scoring defenses at 12.2 points per game. Something’s gotta give. It’s hard to pick against Tiger Stadium in this one. LSU 27, Florida 21
Edward Aschoff: This one should be very interesting. The Gators look like the the East's most balanced team right now, but the offense hasn't exactly played any intimidating defenses. LSU is giving up points and yards left and right, but its offense has been tremendous. LSU will find a way to score on this defense and force turnovers. LSU 24, Florida 20